We have been blessed with some rainfall in our district this winter. But we are still behind our average for 2014. Luckily our ponds and reservoirs are full, but the outlook is bleak. Overall, Texas is still in the drought cycle. 57% of the state is still in drought conditions compared to 77% this time last year. Statewide reservoir levels are rated as 64% full. Normal reservoir level for this time of year is 82%. The Nielsen-Gammon report said an El Nino might develop later this year, but even if it does, its effects will not be in time to offset another dry, hot summer. Even a strong El Nino, one that would bring moisture into the southwest, would not bring relief until fall. The trend of hotter summers that has persisted for the past few years will likely continue. That means more evaporation and more water demand. Overall we have seen a slight increase in reservoir levels, but a slight worsening of drought conditions. West Texas was described as continued and developing drought with parts of the Texas Gulf Coast also considered in continued drought status. Unfortunately, making up that deficit is not likely to occur this spring. We still don’t have a good jet-stream pattern to bring us plentiful moisture and there is no sign of it developing. Our drought in Texas extends far west into California and north into the mountain states.
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